How to read this
SIGNAL dot printed with 4+/5 confluence — the trade ·
READY 4/5, waiting on the dot ·
CLOSE 3/5 with money flow turning ·
DOT_WEAK dot without confluence (historically the losing version) ·
WATCH / IDLE nothing yet.
Backtest, 730 days, 0.72% target (~50¢ silver): 4H beats 1H on every instrument
— SLV 86%, PPLT 82%, SIL 81%, GLD 71% on 4H vs 79/66/74/49% on 1H.
GREEN (long) dots hit near 100% on metals; RED (short) dots are much weaker.
Both readings come from a two-year metals bull market, so treat the GREEN edge as partly regime.
⚠ Median drawdown ≈ median gain (~2.7%). On a 1,000oz contract near $62 that is roughly
$1,700 of heat to capture a ~$500 target — size accordingly.
Signals are computed from ETFs (SLV/GLD/PPLT/GDX/SIL), not futures — Alpaca carries no futures feed.
Bar boundaries will not match a 24h futures chart. Money Flow shown is the gap-adjusted read.